Thursday, May 21, 2020

How Economists Define and Measure Treatment Effects

The term treatment effect  is defined as the average causal effect of a variable on an outcome variable that is of scientific or economic interest. The term first gained traction in the field of medical research where is originated. Since its inception, the term has broadened and has begun to be used more generally as in economic research. Treatment Effects in Economic Research Perhaps one of the most famous examples of treatment effect research in economics is that of a training program or advanced education. At the lowest level, economists have been interested in comparing the earnings or wages of two primary groups: one who participated in the training program and one who did not. An empirical study of treatment effects generally begins with these types of straightforward comparisons. But in practice, such comparisons have the great potential to lead researchers to misleading  conclusions of causal effects, which brings us to the primary problem in treatment effects research. Classic Treatment Effects Problems and Selection Bias In the language of scientific experimentation, a treatment is something done to a person that might have an effect. In the absence of randomized, controlled experiments, discerning the effect of a treatment like a college education or a job training program on income can be clouded by the fact that the person made the choice to be treated. This is known in the scientific research community as selection bias and, it is one of the ​principle  problems in the estimation of treatment effects. The problem of selection bias essentially comes down to the chance that treated individuals may differ from non-treated individuals for reasons other than the treatment itself. As such, the outcomes such treatment would actually a combined result of the persons propensity to choose the treatment and the effects of the treatment itself. Measuring the treatments true effect while screening out the effects of selection bias is the classic treatment effects problem. How Economists Handle Selection Bias In order to measure true treatment effects, economists have certain methods available to them. A standard method is to regress the outcome on other predictors that do not vary with time as well as whether the person took the treatment or not. Using the previous edition treatment example introduced above, an economist may apply a regression of wages not only on years-of-education but also on test scores meant to measure abilities or motivation. The researcher may come to find that both years-of-education and test scores are positively correlated with subsequent wages, so when interpreting the findings the coefficient found on years of education has been partly cleansed of the factors predicting which people would have chosen to have more education. Building upon the use of regressions in treatment effects research, economists may turn to what is known as the potential outcomes framework, which was originally introduced by statisticians. Potential outcomes models use essentially the same methods as switching regression models, but potential outcomes models are not tied to a linear regression framework as are switching regressions.  A more advanced method based upon these modeling techniques is the Heckman two-step.

Wednesday, May 6, 2020

The Tell Tale Heart Analysis - 1295 Words

Klinger, Sabrina - Midterm Exam Explain the term ‘unreliable narrator’. How does this point of view complicate the plot in Poe’s, The Tell-Tale heart? An unreliable narrator is a narrator whose credibility has been seriously compromised whether it be in literature, film or theatre. Such as providing faulty, misleading or distorted details. The narrator in this short story is the killer. We really do not get the opportunity to really know the killer such as his name and what his motive is in killing the old man. What we do learn is he displays no guilt and he is not â€Å"mad†. He also appears to be proud of what he has done. The killer is very nonchalant in telling how he killed the old man and the reasoning behind doing so has to do with†¦show more content†¦Discuss the conflict in John Updike’s AP. Why does it not get resolved? AS discussed in the video there are a few conflicts presented. Generational conflict is one. This occurs as Lengel is an older man and the 3 gir ls are younger and what he sees as appropriate may not be the same as how the girls see it. The 2nd conflict would be conflict of ethics. We are told that Lengel is a religious man as he teaches Sunday school. This conflict could be seen as a difference of values. Lastly, the most important conflict in this story is Shame. For example, Queenie blushes when first addressed by Lengel. She then goes onto explain why they are in the store. It is when Lengel says that â€Å"we want you dressed decently† that Queenie responds with â€Å"we are decent.† It is obvious the Queenie was experiencing embarrassment over how Lengel suggested otherwise. The conflict in this story does not get resolved due to everyone having their own opinions on what is decent. Discuss the irony of the statement, When the doctors came they said she had died of heart disease-of joy that kills, in The Story of an Hour. One of the very first things we learn is Mrs. Mallard was afflicted with heart trouble. In the last sentence of this story we learn she dies of heart disease – of joys that kill. That ending makes it ironic because she did not die from heart disease but from the loss of her freedom andShow MoreRelatedThe Tell Tale Heart Analysis1071 Words   |  5 PagesName: Kabita Budhathoki Class: English 1302-63501 Professor: Derec Moore Date: 10/5/2017 The Tell - Tale Heart The Tell-Tale Heart is a short story written by Edgar Allan Poe which reflects the story of an unnamed narrator about his internal conflict and obsession. This story demonstrates the imagination power of a person and how imagination can affect an individual’s life. Here in this story, the narrator commits a murder of an old man with whom he used to live with an unclearRead MoreAnalysis Of The Tell Tale Heart1482 Words   |  6 Pages The Tell-Tale Heart An American Short Story by Edgar Allan Poe Jameka Josephs ENG 145 Prof Barbara Witucki In â€Å"The Tell-Tale Heart†, Edgar Allan Poe illustrates how obsession can quickly turn into madness and destroy its victim and those connected to them. The narrator tries to convince us that he is in full control of his thought yet he is experiencing a condition that causes him to be over sensitive. Throughout the story we can see his obsession proving his insanity. The narrator claimsRead MoreTell Tale Heart Analysis1176 Words   |  5 Pagesespecially famous for his tales of mystery and macabre. A popular dark short story, â€Å"The Tell-Tale Heart,† and one of his first and most famous poems, â€Å"The Raven,† are no exception. â€Å"The Tell-Tale Heart† is a story of murder narrated by the culprit himself, while â€Å"The Raven† is a melancholy poem about a distraught lover and a talking raven. The reason why the two works are so well known is because of the effect of Poe’s excellent use of literary devices. Throughout â€Å"The Tell -Tale Heart† and â€Å"The Raven,†Read MoreAnalysis Of The Tell Tale Heart1075 Words   |  5 Pagesabout killing someone? Maybe it was just an irritating person at school or work that caused these thoughts. Or maybe it was the way that person talked or the way in which they carried themselves. The narrator in Edgar Allan Poe’s short story, The Tell-Tale Heart, has a problem with the old man with whom he lives. The problem is not about the old man himself, but instead the elder’s â€Å"Evil Eye† (692). After a week of spying on the old man, the narrator ends up killing him because of his eye. Why kill anotherRead MoreAnalysis Of The Tell Tale Heart1092 Words   |  5 PagesThe tale of the heart In the short story, â€Å" The Tell Tale Heart† written by Edgar Allen Poe the insane narrator tells us about the murdering he committed. Because the narrator saw the man and his cataract eye as evil, he thus killed the man. To start with, The narrator would go into his room every night at midnight to see when it is a good time to kill him. The narrator would go into his room every night at midnight to see when it is a good time to kill him. â€Å" Gradually- I made up my mind to takeRead MoreAnalysis Of The Tell Tale Heart 1110 Words   |  5 Pagesdespicable villains are marked with indifference towards their moral reprehensibility. â€Å"In the Penal Colony† and â€Å"The Tell Tale Heart† both elucidate the idea that corruption, darkness, and immorality alike are unperceivable to the one afflicted. However, while â€Å"In the Penal Colony† suggests that this blind nature is a result of dutiful honor, responsibility, and hope, â€Å"The Tell Tale H eart† alternatively submits that it is a result of the possibility of fulfillment. Distinction between bothRead MoreThe Tell Tale Heart Analysis856 Words   |  4 PagesIn the story The Tell-Tale Heart by Edgar Allen Poe, The author puts a lot of emphasis on the heart. But what can we infer about the heart? In the story Poe’s character claims to the audience that he was very nervous about the situation but was not insane. He claimed to have a ‘disease’ that made his hearing extra sensitive.   Every night the narrator suspiciously stalks this old man who has this mysterious blue eye with a film over it. The narrator soon feels entrapped by this eye and decides toRead MoreThe Tell Tale Heart Analysis778 Words   |  4 PagesAll throughout Edgar Allen Poe’s â€Å"The Tell-Tale Heart† the reader follows along as the narrator explains the eight days where he plotted against the old man. During this explanation, the readers forms an opinion on if the narrator is a calculated killer or mentally insane. It is understandable why some people might think that the narrator is a calculated killer because of the planning that the narrator mentions. However, there are more scenes where the narrator can be interpreted as being mentallyRead More The Tell-Tale Heart: An Analysis Essay908 Words   |  4 PagesThe Tell-Tale Heart: An Analysis   Ã‚  Ã‚  Ã‚  Ã‚  In Edgar Allan Poe’s short-story, â€Å"The Tell-Tale Heart,† the storyteller tries to convince the reader that he is not mad. At the very beginning of the story, he asks, ...why will you say I am mad? When the storyteller tells his story, its obvious why. He attempts to tell his story in a calm manner, but occasionally jumps into a frenzied rant. Poes story demonstrates an inner conflict; the state of madness and emotional break-down that the subconsciousRead MoreLiterary Analysis Of The Tell Tale Heart 1072 Words   |  5 PagesMason Wright Professor Ward English 1101 Oct 2nd, 2015 Literary Analysis: The Tell-Tale Heart by Edgar Allan Poe In Edgar Allan Poe’s The Tell-Tale Heart, a story is told of a man whom is not named but I willrefer to as the narrator. The narrator is often quite nervous, however the man tells that â€Å"the disease has sharpened my senses- -not destroyed- -not dulled them†. The narrator tells of an old man, whom the narrator loves, but he plans to kill the old man, for the old man has what the narrator

Build Your Future Today Free Essays

Build Your Future Today Introduction If I were to ask you, â€Å"What is the next major decision you need to make in your life, what would it be? † Perhaps you’ll be looking at your next investment proposal. Or perhaps you are thinking about how to celebrate your next wedding anniversary with your spouse. Or perhaps, you’re trying to decide whether or not you will Join our Toastmasters club today. We will write a custom essay sample on Build Your Future Today or any similar topic only for you Order Now Madam Toastmasters, my fellow Toastmasters, dignitaries, and our most honored guests, to help you decide tonight, not only will you get an overview of our Toastmasters program, you will also walk away with some of the tips and techniques I learned from more experienced Toastmasters. Speaking Off the Cuff First of all, take a look again at the agenda. You will notice how there are three parts to every Toastmasters meeting: Table Topics, Prepared Speeches, and then Evaluations. For Table Topics, the purpose is to help you think on your feet by responding too question you didn’t prepare for, within 1-2 minutes. Why? Think about Job interviews. By keeping your responses short and concise, I think you’re much more likely to establish rapport with your interviewers. I still remember how I recently had 4 Job promotion interviews. One of the questions they all asked was â€Å"tell us about software programs you are familiar with and how you used it for work. † I answered the question! I gave them a list of examples and connected them with work examples. Unfortunately, it came off like a typical laundry list. Boring, forgettable, and â€Å"toss salad†. Not surprisingly, I was O for 4 in getting my rumination. Then, in my 5th promotion interview, when I got the same question, I twisted the question. Instead of making the same mistake again, I actually asked, â€Å"What are the challenges for your unit? † Then, after listening patiently to their challenges, I was able to make everything I said relevant for their unit. For instance, I addressed how I could help them produce memos and proofread documents. Also, impromptu speaking can help improve your interpersonal communication skills. Consider your conversations with your friends and family. Are you likely to deliver 5-7 minute speeches? I hope not. As you can see, the ability to think on your feet is extremely valuable for reaching your professional and personal goals. Delivering Winning Presentations In addition to improving your impromptu speaking, you will learn how to deliver winning presentations. By working through the Competent Communication manual, you can improve many different aspects of public speaking, such as speech organization, body language, and vocal variety. Many people have difficulty coming up with material to talk about. Just pick topics you are familiar with. For example, I three chunks, each lasting from 5-7 minutes. Then, when I need to deliver the actual presentation, I feel much more confident. You can do the same. Take material you know you’ll be presenting in the real-world and practice it here at Toastmasters. Evaluations After you’re done with presentations, you need feedback to keep improving. This is where evaluations come into play. When I first started out in Toastmasters, the hardest roles were Speech Evaluator and General Evaluator. I remembered how my ere first speech evaluation was for our Distinguished Toastmaster, Ron Dowel. My hands were shaking as I brought my notes and his manual to the podium. My voice was shaking too: â€Å"Great†¦ Gestures, great†¦ Volume, great†¦ Content. † Seriously, I didn’t know how to evaluate an experienced speaker. As I gained more experience, this process became easier. Now you may be wondering, â€Å"Why does a giving effective speech evaluation matter to me? † Consider how you need to evaluate other people’s ideas every day. Perhaps you need to evaluate ideas from your colleagues. Or perhaps you need to evaluate ideas from your family and friends. How to critique their ideas without offending them? How to make your suggestions more useful and memorable? You can practice to master this invaluable skill here in Toastmasters. Conclusion As you can see, Toastmasters can help you improve your impromptu speaking, presentation skills, and evaluation skills. By investing Just $36 for every 6 months, you can change your life. Make the right decision by Joining Toastmasters today, because your future depends on it. How to cite Build Your Future Today, Papers